Basil Halperin


Blog — Basil Halperin

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About: Confidence levels

 
Confidence level: very high

Written with very high confidence, and ready to be seen by the world on the same level as polished research.

 
Confidence level: high

Written with substantial confidence, though open to revision.

 
Confidence level: medium

Written with some confidence, while acknowledging uncertainty and/or the possibility of gaps in my knowledge.

 
Confidence level: low

This is something I currently believe; but also estimate nontrivial probability that my view will change later.

 
Confidence level: zero

I don't believe this or no longer believe this, in part or in whole.




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